Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2022-04-26 · FINAL
94 – 97
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
107.5 / 103.1 · 33%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 25.0 → 11
Over/Under 24.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-14)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 22.5
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43%
- Tyler HerroExp 17.6 → 16
Over/Under 16.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.6)
- Bam AdebayoExp 16.8 → 20
Over/Under 15.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Victor OladipoExp 16.4 → 23
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+6.6)
- De'Andre HunterExp 14.2 → 35
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+20.8)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 13.9
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37%
- Kyle LowryExp 12.6
Over/Under 11.5: 61% / 39%
Boxscore leaders
- De'Andre Hunter35 PTS
- Victor Oladipo23 PTS
- Bam Adebayo20 PTS
- Tyler Herro16 PTS
- Max Strus15 PTS
- Danilo Gallinari12 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 8.7 → 6
Over/Under 7.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.4
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.6
Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35%
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.3 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.0 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.7 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young6 AST
- Bam Adebayo4 AST
- Gabe Vincent4 AST
- Tyler Herro4 AST
- Delon Wright3 AST
- Kevin Huerter3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23%
- Delon WrightExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Max StrusExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- De'Andre Hunter3 STL
- Victor Oladipo3 STL
- Gabe Vincent2 STL
- Kevin Huerter2 STL
- Max Strus2 STL
- Onyeka Okongwu2 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 104.6 · Opp PPG 112.8
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.2 · Opp PPG 103.6
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
