Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2022-04-19 · FINAL
105 – 115
P(away)
28%
P(home)
72%
λ home / away · confidence
112.6 / 103.4 · 62%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.4 → 25
Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.2 → 45
Over/Under 20.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+23.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 19.9 → 15
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-4.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 17.6 → 9
Over/Under 16.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-8.6)
- Victor OladipoExp 17.0
Over/Under 16.5: 53% / 47%
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 15.4 → 29
Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+13.6)
- John CollinsExp 14.5 → 13
Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Kyle LowryExp 13.9 → 9
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-4.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III45 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic29 PTS
- Trae Young25 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter16 PTS
- Tyler Herro15 PTS
- Max Strus14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.3 → 7
Over/Under 8.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.8 → 2
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-4.8)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.9 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.7 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.5 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.6 → 6
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+3.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young7 AST
- Kevin Huerter6 AST
- Jimmy Butler III5 AST
- Max Strus4 AST
- Bam Adebayo3 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Delon WrightExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- P.J. TuckerExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Caleb Martin2 STL
- Delon Wright2 STL
- Gabe Vincent2 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- Max Strus2 STL
- Danilo Gallinari1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 111.2 · Opp PPG 112.6
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 119.4 · Opp PPG 109.8
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
