Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2022-04-24 · FINAL
110 – 86
P(away)
61%
P(home)
39%
λ home / away · confidence
104.1 / 108.3 · 30%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.5 → 9
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-17.5)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 22.0 → 36
Over/Under 21.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+14)
- Tyler HerroExp 19.3 → 3
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-16.3)
- Victor OladipoExp 16.8 → 6
Over/Under 15.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-10.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 16.7 → 14
Over/Under 15.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 15.8 → 4
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-11.8)
- De'Andre HunterExp 13.7 → 24
Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.3)
- John CollinsExp 13.5 → 11
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III36 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter24 PTS
- Bam Adebayo14 PTS
- P.J. Tucker14 PTS
- Kevin Knox II12 PTS
- Max Strus12 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.0 → 5
Over/Under 7.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-4)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.4
Over/Under 5.5: 61% / 39%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.7 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.5 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.5 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.0 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 2.8 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young5 AST
- Gabe Vincent4 AST
- Jimmy Butler III4 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
- Victor Oladipo4 AST
- Max Strus3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.3 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Delon WrightExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III4 STL
- Caleb Martin1 STL
- Gabe Vincent1 STL
- Kevin Knox II1 STL
- Max Strus1 STL
- Skylar Mays1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.8 · Opp PPG 108.2
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 109.2 · Opp PPG 113.4
Head to head
MIA 6–4 ATL · 10 Meetings
