Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2022-04-17 · FINAL
91 – 115
P(away)
30%
P(home)
70%
λ home / away · confidence
111.5 / 103.7 · 56%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 27.4 → 8
Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-19.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.6 → 21
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Tyler HerroExp 20.3 → 6
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-14.3)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.8 → 6
Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-12.8)
- Victor OladipoExp 17.1
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46%
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 15.2 → 6
Over/Under 14.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-9.2)
- John CollinsExp 14.7 → 10
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 14.3 → 10
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Duncan Robinson27 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III21 PTS
- Danilo Gallinari17 PTS
- P.J. Tucker16 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter14 PTS
- John Collins10 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.3 → 4
Over/Under 8.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-5.3)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.9 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 6.0 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.7 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.4 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Gabe VincentExp 2.8 → 7
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+4.2)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.7 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Kyle Lowry9 AST
- Gabe Vincent7 AST
- Delon Wright6 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Tyler Herro5 AST
- Jimmy Butler III4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Delon WrightExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- P.J. TuckerExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- Bam AdebayoExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III3 STL
- Delon Wright2 STL
- Kyle Lowry2 STL
- Max Strus2 STL
- Trae Young2 STL
- Tyler Herro2 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 117.4 · Opp PPG 112.6
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 121.8 · Opp PPG 113.4
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
