Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2022-04-22 · FINAL
110 – 111
P(away)
59%
P(home)
41%
λ home / away · confidence
106.9 / 110.3 · 24%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.6 → 24
Over/Under 25.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 22.8 → 20
Over/Under 21.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 19.6 → 24
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Bam AdebayoExp 17.1 → 13
Over/Under 16.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-4.1)
- Victor OladipoExp 17.1
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46%
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 15.4 → 18
Over/Under 14.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- John CollinsExp 14.8 → 6
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-8.8)
- De'Andre HunterExp 13.3 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young24 PTS
- Tyler Herro24 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III20 PTS
- Max Strus20 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic18 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.4 → 8
Over/Under 8.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Kyle LowryExp 6.3 → 5
Over/Under 5.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.4 → 8
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.6)
- Victor OladipoExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34%
- Tyler HerroExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.4 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.8 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III8 AST
- Trae Young8 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic6 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Kyle Lowry5 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Delon WrightExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- P.J. TuckerExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Kevin HuerterExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- Kevin Huerter2 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic1 STL
- Gabe Vincent1 STL
- Onyeka Okongwu1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 119.6 · Opp PPG 109
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 110.6 · Opp PPG 112
Head to head
MIA 6–4 ATL · 10 Meetings
