Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2022-04-08 · FINAL
109 – 113
P(away)
37%
P(home)
63%
λ home / away · confidence
113.0 / 108.3 · 36%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.4 → 35
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+8.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.1 → 20
Over/Under 20.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Tyler HerroExp 20.9 → 15
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-5.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.0 → 24
Over/Under 17.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+6)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 14.7 → 25
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.3)
- John CollinsExp 14.7
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40%
- Kyle LowryExp 13.9 → 16
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Victor OladipoExp 13.9
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37%
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young35 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic25 PTS
- Bam Adebayo24 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III20 PTS
- Clint Capela17 PTS
- Kyle Lowry16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.2 → 8
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Kyle LowryExp 7.3 → 3
Over/Under 6.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.3)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 6.5 → 1
Over/Under 5.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-5.5)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.4 → 9
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Victor OladipoExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.4 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.2 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Kevin HuerterExp 2.7 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro9 AST
- Trae Young8 AST
- Bam Adebayo4 AST
- Kevin Huerter3 AST
- Kyle Lowry3 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Delon WrightExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- P.J. TuckerExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2)
- Victor OladipoExp 0.8
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44%
Boxscore leaders
- Kevin Huerter3 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic2 STL
- Delon Wright2 STL
- Kyle Lowry2 STL
- Dewayne Dedmon1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 4-1
PPG 123 · Opp PPG 112.2
MIA
Record: 5-0
PPG 122.8 · Opp PPG 106.2
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
