Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2022-01-21 · FINAL
108 – 110
P(away)
55%
P(home)
45%
λ home / away · confidence
110.4 / 112.3 · 15%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 27.8 → 28
Over/Under 26.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Tyler HerroExp 21.9
Over/Under 20.5: 61% / 39%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 19.8 → 13
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-6.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.7 → 21
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- John CollinsExp 16.3 → 15
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Kyle LowryExp 13.5
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41%
- De'Andre HunterExp 13.3 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 13.2
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44%
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young28 PTS
- Bam Adebayo21 PTS
- Kevin Huerter21 PTS
- Duncan Robinson19 PTS
- John Collins15 PTS
- Max Strus15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.6 → 7
Over/Under 8.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Kyle LowryExp 8.3
Over/Under 7.5: 58% / 42%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 6.2 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35%
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.7 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Gabe VincentExp 3.3 → 9
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+5.7)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.1 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 2.6
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26%
Boxscore leaders
- Gabe Vincent9 AST
- Jimmy Butler III8 AST
- Trae Young7 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Delon Wright5 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28%
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Gabe VincentExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- Caleb MartinExp 0.9 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Delon WrightExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Caleb Martin4 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- Bam Adebayo1 STL
- De'Andre Hunter1 STL
- Delon Wright1 STL
- P.J. Tucker1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 4-1
PPG 109 · Opp PPG 101.8
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 118.4
Head to head
MIA 7–3 ATL · 10 Meetings
