Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2022-01-14 · FINAL
118 – 124
P(away)
31%
P(home)
69%
λ home / away · confidence
114.2 / 106.8 · 54%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 28.7 → 24
Over/Under 27.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.7)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 23.4 → 23
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Tyler HerroExp 21.8 → 24
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.4
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43%
- John CollinsExp 15.9 → 16
Over/Under 14.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Max StrusExp 14.8 → 16
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Kyle LowryExp 13.9 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 13.6 → 0
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-13.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young24 PTS
- Tyler Herro24 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III23 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter20 PTS
- Danilo Gallinari18 PTS
- Omer Yurtseven17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.1 → 9
Over/Under 8.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Kyle LowryExp 8.9 → 8
Over/Under 7.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.7 → 10
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+4.3)
- Tyler HerroExp 5.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2)
- Gabe VincentExp 4.4 → 0
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.8
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27%
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.2 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Delon WrightExp 3.1 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III10 AST
- Trae Young9 AST
- Kyle Lowry8 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic5 AST
- Delon Wright4 AST
- Omer Yurtseven4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Gabe VincentExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Omer YurtsevenExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Delon WrightExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Delon Wright3 STL
- Caleb Martin2 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- Danilo Gallinari1 STL
- Gorgui Dieng1 STL
- Kyle Lowry1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 1-4
PPG 108.2 · Opp PPG 118.6
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 106
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
