Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2022-01-12 · FINAL
115 – 91
P(away)
64%
P(home)
36%
λ home / away · confidence
107.6 / 113.1 · 38%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 29.3 → 15
Over/Under 28.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-14.3)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 23.3
Over/Under 22.5: 55% / 45%
- Tyler HerroExp 21.8 → 21
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.3
Over/Under 17.5: 56% / 44%
- John CollinsExp 16.4 → 16
Over/Under 15.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Max StrusExp 15.0 → 11
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-4)
- Kyle LowryExp 14.1 → 8
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-6.1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 13.5 → 15
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro21 PTS
- Caleb Martin18 PTS
- John Collins16 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic15 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter15 PTS
- Trae Young15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.5 → 5
Over/Under 8.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Kyle LowryExp 8.4 → 5
Over/Under 7.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.4)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.5
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36%
- Gabe VincentExp 4.3 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.3 → 11
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+6.7)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.7
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28%
- Delon WrightExp 3.7 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- P.J. TuckerExp 3.3 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro11 AST
- Omer Yurtseven6 AST
- Kyle Lowry5 AST
- Trae Young5 AST
- Kevin Huerter4 AST
- Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23%
- Kyle LowryExp 1.2 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Trae YoungExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Delon WrightExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Gabe VincentExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- P.J. TuckerExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Caleb MartinExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Kyle Lowry3 STL
- Gabe Vincent2 STL
- Kevin Huerter2 STL
- P.J. Tucker2 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic1 STL
- De'Andre Hunter1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 115.8 · Opp PPG 109.8
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 114.2 · Opp PPG 119.2
Head to head
MIA 5–5 ATL · 10 Meetings
