Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2021-04-23 · FINAL
103 – 118
P(away)
37%
P(home)
63%
λ home / away · confidence
110.3 / 105.4 · 36%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.0
Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40%
- Victor OladipoExp 19.9
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 19.8 → 19
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.3 → 16
Over/Under 17.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 17.8 → 21
Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Clint CapelaExp 14.9
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37%
- De'Andre HunterExp 14.1
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46%
- John CollinsExp 14.0 → 20
Over/Under 12.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+6)
Boxscore leaders
- Bogdan Bogdanovic21 PTS
- Kendrick Nunn21 PTS
- John Collins20 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III19 PTS
- Brandon Goodwin17 PTS
- Danilo Gallinari17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 9.8
Over/Under 8.5: 64% / 36%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 6.8 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Bam AdebayoExp 5.2 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Victor OladipoExp 4.8
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30%
- Goran DragicExp 4.1 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Kevin HuerterExp 3.8 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 3.7 → 8
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+4.3)
- Lou WilliamsExp 3.1 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Bogdan Bogdanovic8 AST
- Jimmy Butler III7 AST
- Kevin Huerter6 AST
- Bam Adebayo5 AST
- Brandon Goodwin4 AST
- Andre Iguodala3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 84% / 16% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32%
- Victor OladipoExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Kevin HuerterExp 1.0 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+4)
- Cam ReddishExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
- Goran DragicExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Kevin Huerter5 STL
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Jimmy Butler III3 STL
- Solomon Hill3 STL
- Dewayne Dedmon2 STL
- Lou Williams2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 109.2 · Opp PPG 105.4
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 117 · Opp PPG 114.6
Head to head
MIA 5–5 ATL · 10 Meetings
