San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2019-04-27 · FINAL
86 – 90
P(away)
42%
P(home)
58%
λ home / away · confidence
101.3 / 98.4 · 21%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 20.9 → 21
Over/Under 19.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.4 → 16
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 19.9 → 19
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.7 → 23
Over/Under 16.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+5.3)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.3 → 11
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 12.6 → 4
Over/Under 11.5: 61% / 40% · Actual Under (-8.6)
- Paul MillsapExp 12.0 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3)
- Rudy GayExp 11.8 → 21
Over/Under 10.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+9.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray23 PTS
- Nikola Jokic21 PTS
- Rudy Gay21 PTS
- Bryn Forbes19 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan19 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 7.6 → 10
Over/Under 6.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.1 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.5 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.7 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Patty MillsExp 2.3 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 2.2 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Isaiah ThomasExp 2.1
Over/Under 1.5: 63% / 37%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- DeMar DeRozan6 AST
- Patty Mills5 AST
- Jamal Murray4 AST
- LaMarcus Aldridge4 AST
- Gary Harris3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Patty MillsExp 0.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 47% / 53% · Actual Under (-0.6)
- Rudy GayExp 0.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 46% / 54% · Actual Over (+0.4)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan2 STL
- Mason Plumlee1 STL
- Monte Morris1 STL
- Nikola Jokic1 STL
- Rudy Gay1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 107.2 · Opp PPG 110
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 110 · Opp PPG 107.2
Head to head
SAS 5–5 DEN · 10 Meetings
