Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2019-04-25 · FINAL
103 – 120
P(away)
51%
P(home)
49%
λ home / away · confidence
103.0 / 103.2 · 2%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 20.2 → 25
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4.8)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 19.6 → 26
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+6.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 19.2 → 43
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+23.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.5 → 16
Over/Under 16.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.5 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 13.1 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Paul MillsapExp 12.1 → 12
Over/Under 11.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Bryn ForbesExp 10.7 → 12
Over/Under 9.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic43 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge26 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan25 PTS
- Rudy Gay19 PTS
- Jamal Murray16 PTS
- Gary Harris14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 7.2 → 9
Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.4 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.8 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.7 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.9 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Patty MillsExp 2.1 → 6
Over/Under 1.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.9)
- Will BartonExp 2.1 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Gary HarrisExp 2.1 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic9 AST
- DeMar DeRozan7 AST
- Jamal Murray6 AST
- Patty Mills6 AST
- Torrey Craig6 AST
- LaMarcus Aldridge5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Will BartonExp 0.6 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 46% / 54% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Patty MillsExp 0.6 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 45% / 55% · Actual Over (+2.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Patty Mills3 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Malik Beasley1 STL
- Torrey Craig1 STL
- Will Barton1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 108.6 · Opp PPG 103.4
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 103.4 · Opp PPG 108.6
Head to head
DEN 5–4 SAS · 9 Meetings
