San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2019-04-16 · FINAL
105 – 114
P(away)
34%
P(home)
66%
λ home / away · confidence
106.4 / 100.5 · 44%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.1 → 24
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+3.9)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 19.3 → 31
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+11.7)
- Nikola JokicExp 19.1 → 21
Over/Under 18.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 18.4 → 24
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.6)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.0 → 23
Over/Under 11.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+10)
- Rudy GayExp 12.4 → 5
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.4)
- Paul MillsapExp 11.8 → 20
Over/Under 10.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+8.2)
- Bryn ForbesExp 10.7 → 5
Over/Under 9.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-5.7)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan31 PTS
- Jamal Murray24 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge24 PTS
- Gary Harris23 PTS
- Nikola Jokic21 PTS
- Paul Millsap20 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.8 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.8 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-3.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.7 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.6 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.9 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.8 → 6
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Will BartonExp 2.4 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Rudy GayExp 2.3 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic8 AST
- Monte Morris6 AST
- Patty Mills5 AST
- Jamal Murray4 AST
- Bryn Forbes3 AST
- LaMarcus Aldridge3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.7 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 49% / 51% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Bryn Forbes1 STL
- Jamal Murray1 STL
- Monte Morris1 STL
- Paul Millsap1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 4-1
PPG 106.4 · Opp PPG 101
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 106 · Opp PPG 107.8
Head to head
SAS 3–2 DEN · 5 Meetings
