Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2019-04-20 · FINAL
117 – 103
P(away)
53%
P(home)
47%
λ home / away · confidence
104.6 / 105.7 · 10%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 20.3 → 19
Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.1 → 24
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+3.9)
- Nikola JokicExp 18.9 → 29
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.1 → 24
Over/Under 16.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+6.9)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.7 → 8
Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-5.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 13.3 → 8
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.3)
- Paul MillsapExp 12.1 → 2
Over/Under 11.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-10.1)
- Rudy GayExp 12.1 → 2
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-10.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic29 PTS
- Jamal Murray24 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge24 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan19 PTS
- Torrey Craig18 PTS
- Patty Mills12 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.6 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.9 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.5 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+1)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.5 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Rudy GayExp 2.3 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 2.2 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic8 AST
- Jamal Murray6 AST
- DeMar DeRozan5 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Mason Plumlee3 AST
- Patty Mills3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.5 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Rudy GayExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 49% / 51% · Actual Under (-0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- LaMarcus Aldridge2 STL
- Torrey Craig2 STL
- Gary Harris1 STL
- Patty Mills1 STL
- Paul Millsap1 STL
- Quincy Pondexter1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 105 · Opp PPG 107.4
SAS
Record: 4-1
PPG 108.2 · Opp PPG 100.4
Head to head
DEN 3–4 SAS · 7 Meetings
