San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2019-04-23 · FINAL
90 – 108
P(away)
37%
P(home)
63%
λ home / away · confidence
104.5 / 99.6 · 36%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 20.1 → 17
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.1 → 17
Over/Under 19.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Nikola JokicExp 19.9 → 16
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.3 → 23
Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+5.7)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.7 → 15
Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 13.1 → 12
Over/Under 12.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Paul MillsapExp 12.3 → 14
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Will BartonExp 11.8 → 17
Over/Under 10.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+5.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray23 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan17 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge17 PTS
- Will Barton17 PTS
- Nikola Jokic16 PTS
- Gary Harris15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 7.5 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.4 → 1
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.6 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.9 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.0 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (0)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 2.2 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Rudy GayExp 2.2 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Isaiah ThomasExp 2.2
Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic8 AST
- Jamal Murray7 AST
- Jakob Poeltl4 AST
- Monte Morris3 AST
- Will Barton3 AST
- Derrick White2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 48% / 52% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Rudy GayExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 48% / 52% · Actual Under (-0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray2 STL
- LaMarcus Aldridge2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Patty Mills2 STL
- DeMar DeRozan1 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 106.4 · Opp PPG 105.8
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 106.8 · Opp PPG 104.4
Head to head
SAS 4–4 DEN · 8 Meetings
