Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2019-04-18 · FINAL
108 – 118
P(away)
53%
P(home)
47%
λ home / away · confidence
105.6 / 106.6 · 8%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 19.8 → 18
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 19.5 → 25
Over/Under 18.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.5)
- Nikola JokicExp 18.9 → 22
Over/Under 17.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 18.6 → 6
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-12.6)
- Gary HarrisExp 13.8 → 12
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Paul MillsapExp 12.3 → 14
Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Rudy GayExp 12.1 → 11
Over/Under 11.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Will BartonExp 11.1 → 4
Over/Under 10.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-7.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick White36 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan25 PTS
- Nikola Jokic22 PTS
- Malik Beasley20 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge18 PTS
- Paul Millsap14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.8 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 5.8 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.5 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.9 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.8 → 7
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+4.2)
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.7 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Rudy GayExp 2.3 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Will BartonExp 2.3 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-2.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Gary Harris7 AST
- Monte Morris7 AST
- Nikola Jokic7 AST
- DeMar DeRozan5 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- LaMarcus Aldridge5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Under (-0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan3 STL
- Derrick White3 STL
- Gary Harris1 STL
- Jakob Poeltl1 STL
- Jamal Murray1 STL
- Patty Mills1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 105 · Opp PPG 106.8
SAS
Record: 4-1
PPG 110.4 · Opp PPG 101.2
Head to head
DEN 3–3 SAS · 6 Meetings
