San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2019-04-13 · FINAL
101 – 96
P(away)
39%
P(home)
61%
λ home / away · confidence
105.4 / 101.3 · 31%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.2 → 15
Over/Under 19.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 19.6 → 10
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-9.6)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 18.9 → 18
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 18.1 → 17
Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Gary HarrisExp 11.9 → 20
Over/Under 10.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+8.1)
- Rudy GayExp 11.7 → 14
Over/Under 10.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- Paul MillsapExp 11.6 → 12
Over/Under 10.5: 61% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Malik BeasleyExp 11.1 → 10
Over/Under 10.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Gary Harris20 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan18 PTS
- Jamal Murray17 PTS
- Derrick White16 PTS
- Bryn Forbes15 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.7 → 14
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+7.3)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.0 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (0)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.0 → 0
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.6 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.1 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Mason PlumleeExp 3.0 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (0)
- Patty MillsExp 2.3 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Will BartonExp 2.2 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic14 AST
- DeMar DeRozan6 AST
- Derrick White5 AST
- Monte Morris5 AST
- Mason Plumlee3 AST
- Patty Mills3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+3.8)
- Derrick WhiteExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.7 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray5 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Jakob Poeltl1 STL
- LaMarcus Aldridge1 STL
- Monte Morris1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 4-1
PPG 109.6 · Opp PPG 104
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 109.4 · Opp PPG 104.6
Head to head
SAS 2–2 DEN · 4 Meetings
