San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2019-04-03 · FINAL
85 – 113
P(away)
29%
P(home)
71%
λ home / away · confidence
109.3 / 100.7 · 59%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 20.4 → 11
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-9.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 20.2 → 20
Over/Under 19.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 19.8 → 16
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 40% · Actual Under (-3.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.6 → 14
Over/Under 16.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.6)
- Rudy GayExp 12.7 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Will BartonExp 12.4 → 11
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Gary HarrisExp 11.9 → 11
Over/Under 10.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Paul MillsapExp 11.8 → 3
Over/Under 10.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-8.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic20 PTS
- Malik Beasley19 PTS
- Monte Morris19 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge16 PTS
- Lonnie Walker IV16 PTS
- Jamal Murray14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.7 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.2 → 3
Over/Under 5.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.5 → 11
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+6.5)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.7 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.8 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.6 → 4
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Patty MillsExp 2.6 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Rudy GayExp 2.5 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray11 AST
- Nikola Jokic9 AST
- Mason Plumlee4 AST
- Bryn Forbes3 AST
- DeMar DeRozan3 AST
- Monte Morris3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Paul MillsapExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Rudy GayExp 0.7 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Davis Bertans3 STL
- Dante Cunningham1 STL
- DeMar DeRozan1 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Drew Eubanks1 STL
- Jakob Poeltl1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 114 · Opp PPG 111
DEN
Record: 2-3
PPG 97.4 · Opp PPG 104
Head to head
SAS 2–1 DEN · 3 Meetings
