Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2019-03-04 · FINAL

103104

P(away)

60%

P(home)

40%

λ home / away · confidence

108.1 / 112.0 · 28%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 22.922

    Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.9)

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 22.124

    Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.922

    Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 17.925

    Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+7.1)

  • Rudy GayExp 14.014

    Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (0)

  • Paul MillsapExp 13.85

    Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-8.8)

  • Will BartonExp 13.312

    Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Gary HarrisExp 12.58

    Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4.5)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 7.86

    Over/Under 6.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.8)

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 6.07

    Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 5.18

    Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.9)

  • Will BartonExp 3.91

    Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-2.9)

  • Derrick WhiteExp 3.89

    Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+5.2)

  • Patty MillsExp 2.91

    Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • Monte MorrisExp 2.91

    Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • Mason PlumleeExp 2.83

    Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.2)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.30

    Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Derrick WhiteExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Paul MillsapExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Will BartonExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Gary HarrisExp 0.80

    Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)

  • Mason PlumleeExp 0.70

    Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Under (-0.7)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 3-2

PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 108.6

SAS

Record: 2-3

PPG 108.2 · Opp PPG 109.2

Head to head

DEN 11 SAS · 2 Meetings