Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2019-03-04 · FINAL
103 – 104
P(away)
60%
P(home)
40%
λ home / away · confidence
108.1 / 112.0 · 28%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 22.9 → 22
Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 22.1 → 24
Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 20.9 → 22
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 17.9 → 25
Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+7.1)
- Rudy GayExp 14.0 → 14
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (0)
- Paul MillsapExp 13.8 → 5
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-8.8)
- Will BartonExp 13.3 → 12
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Gary HarrisExp 12.5 → 8
Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray25 PTS
- DeMar DeRozan24 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge22 PTS
- Nikola Jokic22 PTS
- Malik Beasley15 PTS
- Rudy Gay14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 7.8 → 6
Over/Under 6.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.0 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.1 → 8
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2.9)
- Will BartonExp 3.9 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.8 → 9
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+5.2)
- Patty MillsExp 2.9 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Monte MorrisExp 2.9 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.8 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Derrick White9 AST
- Jamal Murray8 AST
- DeMar DeRozan7 AST
- Nikola Jokic6 AST
- Rudy Gay4 AST
- Malik Beasley3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Paul MillsapExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Will BartonExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 50% / 50% · Actual Under (-0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan3 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Isaiah Thomas1 STL
- Jakob Poeltl1 STL
- Jamal Murray1 STL
- Malik Beasley1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 108.6
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 108.2 · Opp PPG 109.2
Head to head
DEN 1–1 SAS · 2 Meetings
