Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2018-12-26 · FINAL
103 – 111
P(away)
45%
P(home)
55%
λ home / away · confidence
110.6 / 108.6 · 14%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 22.8 → 30
Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.2)
- Nikola JokicExp 19.7 → 4
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-15.7)
- LaMarcus AldridgeExp 19.4 → 27
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+7.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 18.1 → 9
Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.1)
- Gary HarrisExp 15.0
Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%
- Rudy GayExp 14.2 → 6
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-8.2)
- Paul MillsapExp 13.4
Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42%
- Will BartonExp 12.4
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42%
Boxscore leaders
- DeMar DeRozan30 PTS
- Juancho Hernangomez27 PTS
- LaMarcus Aldridge27 PTS
- Malik Beasley22 PTS
- Bryn Forbes15 PTS
- Monte Morris15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 6.8 → 10
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 6.4 → 5
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 4.9 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Monte MorrisExp 3.9 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Derrick WhiteExp 3.9 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Pau GasolExp 2.7
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24%
- Mason PlumleeExp 2.7 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Will BartonExp 2.7
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- DeMar DeRozan5 AST
- Marco Belinelli5 AST
- Bryn Forbes4 AST
- Derrick White4 AST
- Monte Morris4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Derrick WhiteExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Paul MillsapExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
- Monte MorrisExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Gary HarrisExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%
- Mason PlumleeExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Monte Morris3 STL
- Bryn Forbes2 STL
- DeMar DeRozan2 STL
- Mason Plumlee2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 109.2 · Opp PPG 106.6
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 114 · Opp PPG 98
Head to head
No prior form for this matchup yet.
