Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2018-12-26 · FINAL

103111

P(away)

45%

P(home)

55%

λ home / away · confidence

110.6 / 108.6 · 14%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 22.830

    Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.2)

  • Nikola JokicExp 19.74

    Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-15.7)

  • LaMarcus AldridgeExp 19.427

    Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+7.6)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 18.19

    Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.1)

  • Gary HarrisExp 15.0

    Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46%

  • Rudy GayExp 14.26

    Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-8.2)

  • Paul MillsapExp 13.4

    Over/Under 12.5: 58% / 42%

  • Will BartonExp 12.4

    Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42%

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 6.810

    Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+3.2)

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 6.45

    Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 4.92

    Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.9)

  • Monte MorrisExp 3.94

    Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Derrick WhiteExp 3.94

    Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Pau GasolExp 2.7

    Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24%

  • Mason PlumleeExp 2.73

    Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25%

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.32

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Derrick WhiteExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%

  • DeMar DeRozanExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Monte MorrisExp 0.93

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.1)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40%

  • Mason PlumleeExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 4-1

PPG 109.2 · Opp PPG 106.6

SAS

Record: 3-2

PPG 114 · Opp PPG 98

Head to head

No prior form for this matchup yet.