Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2026-04-12 · FINAL

128118

P(away)

26%

P(home)

74%

λ home / away · confidence

123.5 / 113.2 · 69%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 26.123

    Over/Under 25.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.1)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 19.424

    Over/Under 18.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.6)

  • Stephon CastleExp 18.510

    Over/Under 17.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-8.5)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 15.218

    Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.8)

  • Dylan HarperExp 14.19

    Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-5.1)

  • Devin VassellExp 13.919

    Over/Under 12.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+5.1)

  • Julian ChampagnieExp 11.77

    Over/Under 10.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4.7)

  • Jonas ValanciunasExp 11.416

    Over/Under 10.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+4.6)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 10.91

    Over/Under 9.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-9.9)

  • Stephon CastleExp 8.79

    Over/Under 7.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 6.75

    Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.7)

  • Dylan HarperExp 4.51

    Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-3.5)

  • Devin VassellExp 2.62

    Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.6)

  • Bruce BrownExp 2.25

    Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+2.8)

  • Harrison BarnesExp 1.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 84% / 16% · Actual Over (-0.9)

  • Jalen PickettExp 1.86

    Over/Under 0.5: 83% / 17% · Actual Over (+4.2)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.20

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 1.20

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)

  • Stephon CastleExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Bruce BrownExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Dylan HarperExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Devin VassellExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.1)

  • Julian ChampagnieExp 0.80

    Over/Under 0.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-0.8)

  • Jordan McLaughlinExp 0.70

    Over/Under 0.5: 52% / 48% · Actual Under (-0.7)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 5-0

PPG 133.2 · Opp PPG 121.8

SAS

Record: 4-1

PPG 123.6 · Opp PPG 111.6

Head to head

DEN 64 SAS · 10 Meetings