Tonight

San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets

2025-11-28 · FINAL

139136

P(away)

46%

P(home)

54%

λ home / away · confidence

118.2 / 116.4 · 12%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 30.321

    Over/Under 29.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-9.2)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 25.015

    Over/Under 23.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-10)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 23.437

    Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+13.6)

  • Devin VassellExp 14.935

    Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+20.1)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 13.714

    Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Harrison BarnesExp 13.310

    Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-3.3)

  • Peyton WatsonExp 13.115

    Over/Under 12.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Dylan HarperExp 12.911

    Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.9)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 10.410

    Over/Under 9.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 7.37

    Over/Under 6.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 6.812

    Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+5.2)

  • Dylan HarperExp 3.83

    Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.8)

  • Kelly OlynykExp 2.90

    Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-2.9)

  • Cameron JohnsonExp 2.61

    Over/Under 1.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.6)

  • Devin VassellExp 2.52

    Over/Under 1.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.5)

  • Jeremy SochanExp 2.22

    Over/Under 1.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.2)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 1.31

    Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.30

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.2)

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Devin VassellExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Peyton WatsonExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Harrison BarnesExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)

  • Dylan HarperExp 0.93

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.1)

  • Julian ChampagnieExp 0.81

    Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.2)

Recent form (L5)

SAS

Record: 4-1

PPG 117.2 · Opp PPG 110

DEN

Record: 3-2

PPG 122.4 · Opp PPG 120

Head to head

SAS 46 DEN · 10 Meetings