Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2026-03-12 · FINAL

136131

P(away)

32%

P(home)

68%

λ home / away · confidence

120.1 / 113.2 · 50%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 27.631

    Over/Under 26.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3.4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 25.839

    Over/Under 24.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+13.2)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 19.727

    Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+7.3)

  • Stephon CastleExp 16.230

    Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+13.8)

  • Devin VassellExp 14.318

    Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3.7)

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.Exp 13.51

    Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-12.5)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 12.55

    Over/Under 11.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-7.5)

  • Dylan HarperExp 12.313

    Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.8)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 9.512

    Over/Under 8.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.5)

  • Stephon CastleExp 7.210

    Over/Under 6.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.8)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 6.69

    Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+2.4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 6.57

    Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.5)

  • Dylan HarperExp 4.45

    Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.6)

  • Christian BraunExp 2.92

    Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (-0.9)

  • Devin VassellExp 2.63

    Over/Under 1.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.4)

  • Tyus JonesExp 2.50

    Over/Under 1.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-2.5)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.43

    Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+1.6)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Stephon CastleExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)

  • Bruce BrownExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Dylan HarperExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Cameron JohnsonExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Christian BraunExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 3-2

PPG 121.2 · Opp PPG 120.4

SAS

Record: 5-0

PPG 127.6 · Opp PPG 109

Head to head

DEN 55 SAS · 10 Meetings