San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2025-04-02 · FINAL
113 – 106
P(away)
35%
P(home)
65%
λ home / away · confidence
122.6 / 116.3 · 42%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 30.4
Over/Under 29.5: 56% / 44%
- Victor WembanyamaExp 24.8
Over/Under 23.5: 59% / 41%
- De'Aaron FoxExp 24.2
Over/Under 23.5: 54% / 46%
- Jamal MurrayExp 22.1
Over/Under 21.5: 54% / 46%
- Devin VassellExp 17.6
Over/Under 16.5: 59% / 41%
- Stephon CastleExp 17.5 → 15
Over/Under 16.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.4
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43%
- Russell WestbrookExp 16.5 → 30
Over/Under 15.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+13.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Russell Westbrook30 PTS
- Harrison Barnes20 PTS
- Hunter Tyson18 PTS
- Chris Paul17 PTS
- Jalen Pickett17 PTS
- Sandro Mamukelashvili16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 10.5
Over/Under 9.5: 60% / 40%
- Chris PaulExp 7.1 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Russell WestbrookExp 6.8 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- De'Aaron FoxExp 6.6
Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35%
- Jamal MurrayExp 5.9
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30%
- Stephon CastleExp 5.2 → 9
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.8)
- Aaron GordonExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30%
- Victor WembanyamaExp 3.6
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31%
Boxscore leaders
- Jalen Pickett10 AST
- Stephon Castle9 AST
- Chris Paul8 AST
- Russell Westbrook6 AST
- Harrison Barnes3 AST
- Jordan McLaughlin2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Russell WestbrookExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25%
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27%
- Chris PaulExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- De'Aaron FoxExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Victor WembanyamaExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Blake WesleyExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Russell Westbrook3 STL
- Vlatko Cancar2 STL
- Chris Paul1 STL
- DeAndre Jordan1 STL
- Harrison Barnes1 STL
- Jalen Pickett1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 0-5
PPG 106.8 · Opp PPG 126.2
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 126 · Opp PPG 118
Head to head
SAS 4–6 DEN · 10 Meetings
