Tonight

San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets

2026-04-04 · FINAL

134136

P(away)

60%

P(home)

40%

λ home / away · confidence

115.5 / 119.4 · 28%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Jamal MurrayExp 26.315

    Over/Under 25.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-11.3)

  • Nikola JokicExp 25.940

    Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+14.1)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 25.934

    Over/Under 24.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+8.1)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 18.514

    Over/Under 17.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.5)

  • Stephon CastleExp 18.120

    Over/Under 17.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Aaron GordonExp 15.315

    Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Tim Hardaway Jr.Exp 15.010

    Over/Under 14.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-5)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 13.810

    Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.8)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 11.213

    Over/Under 10.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.8)

  • Stephon CastleExp 8.39

    Over/Under 7.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 7.010

    Over/Under 6.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+3)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 6.04

    Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-2)

  • Dylan HarperExp 4.13

    Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 3.57

    Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+3.5)

  • Devin VassellExp 2.52

    Over/Under 1.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.5)

  • Aaron GordonExp 2.53

    Over/Under 1.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.5)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.20

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.2)

  • De'Aaron FoxExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Stephon CastleExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Devin VassellExp 0.90

    Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)

  • Cameron JohnsonExp 0.82

    Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.2)

  • Julian ChampagnieExp 0.80

    Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-0.8)

Recent form (L5)

SAS

Record: 5-0

PPG 124.8 · Opp PPG 103.8

DEN

Record: 5-0

PPG 129.6 · Opp PPG 119.4

Head to head

SAS 55 DEN · 10 Meetings