Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2025-01-04 · FINAL
122 – 111
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
120.3 / 115.7 · 35%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 29.6 → 46
Over/Under 28.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+16.4)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 29.6 → 20
Over/Under 28.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-9.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 21.1 → 13
Over/Under 20.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-8.1)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.0 → 28
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+11)
- Devin VassellExp 16.3 → 19
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.7)
- Jeremy SochanExp 13.9 → 5
Over/Under 12.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-8.9)
- Russell WestbrookExp 13.2 → 9
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.2)
- Christian BraunExp 12.4 → 8
Over/Under 11.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic46 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.28 PTS
- Harrison Barnes22 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama20 PTS
- Devin Vassell19 PTS
- Jamal Murray13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.2 → 10
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Chris PaulExp 8.1 → 8
Over/Under 7.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Russell WestbrookExp 7.0 → 6
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jamal MurrayExp 6.1 → 6
Over/Under 5.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 4.0 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1)
- Tre JonesExp 3.8 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Stephon CastleExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Devin VassellExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (-0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic10 AST
- Chris Paul8 AST
- Jamal Murray6 AST
- Russell Westbrook6 AST
- Tre Jones6 AST
- Christian Braun3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.4 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+3.6)
- Russell WestbrookExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Chris PaulExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Christian BraunExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Devin VassellExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Jeremy SochanExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray5 STL
- Russell Westbrook3 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Christian Braun1 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
- Jeremy Sochan1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 130 · Opp PPG 124.8
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 111 · Opp PPG 102.4
Head to head
DEN 6–4 SAS · 10 Meetings
