New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2026-04-12 · FINAL
126 – 132
P(away)
23%
P(home)
77%
λ home / away · confidence
122.7 / 111.0 · 76%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jeremiah FearsExp 17.9 → 36
Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+18.1)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 14.5 → 3
Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-11.5)
- Derik QueenExp 12.9 → 30
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+17.1)
- Jordan HawkinsExp 11.7 → 13
Over/Under 10.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Terrence Shannon Jr.Exp 10.9 → 26
Over/Under 9.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+15.1)
- Josh OduroExp 10.6 → 4
Over/Under 9.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-6.6)
- Joan BeringerExp 10.2 → 24
Over/Under 9.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+13.8)
- Trey AlexanderExp 9.1 → 16
Over/Under 8.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+6.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Jeremiah Fears36 PTS
- Derik Queen30 PTS
- Terrence Shannon Jr.26 PTS
- Joan Beringer24 PTS
- Micah Peavy21 PTS
- Zyon Pullin19 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Jeremiah FearsExp 4.6 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Derik QueenExp 3.6 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 2.9 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Micah PeavyExp 2.0 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1)
- Terrence Shannon Jr.Exp 1.5 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Jordan HawkinsExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Josh OduroExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jaylen ClarkExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Joe Ingles10 AST
- Jeremiah Fears5 AST
- Terrence Shannon Jr.5 AST
- Zyon Pullin5 AST
- Derik Queen4 AST
- Donte DiVincenzo3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Micah PeavyExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Derik QueenExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Jaylen ClarkExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Joan BeringerExp 0.7 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 49% / 51% · Actual Under (-0.7)
- Josh OduroExp 0.6 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 43% / 57% · Actual Under (-0.6)
- Trey AlexanderExp 0.5 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 42% / 58% · Actual Over (+2.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Trey Alexander3 STL
- Enrique Freeman2 STL
- Jeremiah Fears2 STL
- Derik Queen1 STL
- Hunter Dickinson1 STL
- Joe Ingles1 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 120.2 · Opp PPG 125.6
MIN
Record: 2-3
PPG 118.2 · Opp PPG 121
Head to head
NOP 4–6 MIN · 10 Meetings
