Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2025-12-04 · FINAL
125 – 116
P(away)
70%
P(home)
30%
λ home / away · confidence
114.2 / 122.1 · 57%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 30.2 → 11
Over/Under 29.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-19.2)
- Julius RandleExp 22.5 → 28
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.5)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 21.0 → 21
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (0)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 16.9 → 20
Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Saddiq BeyExp 15.3 → 20
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.7)
- Naz ReidExp 14.9 → 19
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+4.1)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 14.8 → 14
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 14.7 → 15
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Julius Randle28 PTS
- Trey Murphy III21 PTS
- Jeremiah Fears20 PTS
- Saddiq Bey20 PTS
- Naz Reid19 PTS
- Bryce McGowens15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Julius RandleExp 6.0 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-3)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 4.6 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Derik QueenExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 3.9 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jose AlvaradoExp 3.7 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 3.6 → 8
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Mike ConleyExp 3.1 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 3.0 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3)
Boxscore leaders
- Trey Murphy III8 AST
- Jeremiah Fears6 AST
- Naz Reid6 AST
- Bryce McGowens5 AST
- Derik Queen5 AST
- Jaden McDaniels5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Julius RandleExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Saddiq BeyExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Derik QueenExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Naz ReidExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Saddiq Bey3 STL
- Jaden McDaniels2 STL
- Jose Alvarado2 STL
- Trey Murphy III2 STL
- Anthony Edwards1 STL
- Bryce McGowens1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 3-2
PPG 122 · Opp PPG 119.8
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 126 · Opp PPG 129.8
Head to head
MIN 7–3 NOP · 10 Meetings
