Tonight

Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans

2025-12-04 · FINAL

125116

P(away)

70%

P(home)

30%

λ home / away · confidence

114.2 / 122.1 · 57%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 30.211

    Over/Under 29.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-19.2)

  • Julius RandleExp 22.528

    Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.5)

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 21.021

    Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (0)

  • Jeremiah FearsExp 16.920

    Over/Under 15.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.1)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 15.320

    Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.7)

  • Naz ReidExp 14.919

    Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+4.1)

  • Jaden McDanielsExp 14.814

    Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.8)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 14.715

    Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.3)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Julius RandleExp 6.03

    Over/Under 4.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-3)

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 4.64

    Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.6)

  • Derik QueenExp 4.05

    Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 3.93

    Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.9)

  • Jose AlvaradoExp 3.71

    Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.7)

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 3.68

    Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+4.4)

  • Mike ConleyExp 3.13

    Over/Under 2.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Jeremiah FearsExp 3.06

    Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 1.41

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.42

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.6)

  • Jaden McDanielsExp 1.22

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)

  • Julius RandleExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Derik QueenExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)

  • Naz ReidExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

Recent form (L5)

MIN

Record: 3-2

PPG 122 · Opp PPG 119.8

NOP

Record: 1-4

PPG 126 · Opp PPG 129.8

Head to head

MIN 73 NOP · 10 Meetings