New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2026-02-06 · FINAL
119 – 115
P(away)
33%
P(home)
67%
λ home / away · confidence
119.9 / 113.4 · 48%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 28.7 → 35
Over/Under 27.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 23.7 → 26
Over/Under 22.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- Julius RandleExp 21.6 → 24
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 19.6 → 29
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+9.4)
- Saddiq BeyExp 18.5 → 30
Over/Under 17.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+11.5)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 16.4 → 6
Over/Under 15.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-10.4)
- Naz ReidExp 15.6 → 7
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-8.6)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 14.9 → 6
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-8.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards35 PTS
- Saddiq Bey30 PTS
- Zion Williamson29 PTS
- Trey Murphy III26 PTS
- Julius Randle24 PTS
- Bones Hyland20 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Julius RandleExp 5.7 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 4.6 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Derik QueenExp 4.5 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 4.1 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 3.9 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 3.6 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.6)
- Bones HylandExp 3.1 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Julius Randle7 AST
- Herbert Jones5 AST
- Saddiq Bey5 AST
- Trey Murphy III5 AST
- Anthony Edwards4 AST
- Bryce McGowens4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Julius RandleExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Herbert JonesExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Derik QueenExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Naz ReidExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Herbert Jones3 STL
- Rudy Gobert3 STL
- Naz Reid2 STL
- Bones Hyland1 STL
- Donte DiVincenzo1 STL
- Saddiq Bey1 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 111 · Opp PPG 115.4
MIN
Record: 4-1
PPG 125.6 · Opp PPG 118.6
Head to head
NOP 3–7 MIN · 10 Meetings
