New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2025-03-19 · FINAL
119 – 115
P(away)
18%
P(home)
82%
λ home / away · confidence
123.9 / 109.0 · 89%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 28.0 → 29
Over/Under 27.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 23.6 → 29
Over/Under 22.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+5.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.0
Over/Under 18.5: 62% / 38%
- CJ McCollumExp 19.8 → 18
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 19.7
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41%
- Julius RandleExp 18.4 → 17
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Naz ReidExp 15.6 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-6.6)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 14.7 → 5
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-9.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards29 PTS
- Zion Williamson29 PTS
- CJ McCollum18 PTS
- Julius Randle17 PTS
- Mike Conley16 PTS
- Bruce Brown15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 7.0
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45%
- Zion WilliamsonExp 5.5 → 8
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.5)
- Julius RandleExp 5.3 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jose AlvaradoExp 4.7 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- CJ McCollumExp 4.5 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Mike ConleyExp 4.2 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 4.2 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Zion Williamson8 AST
- Bruce Brown6 AST
- Jose Alvarado6 AST
- Anthony Edwards4 AST
- Jaden McDaniels4 AST
- Naz Reid4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Herbert JonesExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21%
- Jaden McDanielsExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30%
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Mike ConleyExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Naz ReidExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Zion Williamson3 STL
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker2 STL
- Anthony Edwards1 STL
- Donte DiVincenzo1 STL
- Jaylen Clark1 STL
- Jordan Hawkins1 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 104 · Opp PPG 117.2
MIN
Record: 4-1
PPG 126.4 · Opp PPG 112.8
Head to head
NOP 4–6 MIN · 10 Meetings
