Tonight

Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans

2025-12-02 · FINAL

149142

P(away)

65%

P(home)

35%

λ home / away · confidence

114.7 / 120.5 · 41%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 29.844

    Over/Under 28.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+14.2)

  • Julius RandleExp 23.716

    Over/Under 22.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.7)

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 19.633

    Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+13.4)

  • Jeremiah FearsExp 16.421

    Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.6)

  • Jaden McDanielsExp 14.717

    Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.3)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 14.622

    Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.4)

  • Naz ReidExp 14.318

    Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+3.7)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 13.915

    Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Julius RandleExp 5.96

    Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 4.54

    Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.5)

  • Derik QueenExp 4.06

    Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 3.75

    Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.3)

  • Jose AlvaradoExp 3.63

    Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.6)

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 3.54

    Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)

  • Mike ConleyExp 3.21

    Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.2)

  • Jaden McDanielsExp 2.82

    Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.8)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.40

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Anthony EdwardsExp 1.30

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Julius RandleExp 1.30

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Jaden McDanielsExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Jeremiah FearsExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Saddiq BeyExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Naz ReidExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Recent form (L5)

MIN

Record: 2-3

PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 114.2

NOP

Record: 1-4

PPG 117.2 · Opp PPG 123

Head to head

MIN 64 NOP · 10 Meetings