Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2025-12-02 · FINAL
149 – 142
P(away)
65%
P(home)
35%
λ home / away · confidence
114.7 / 120.5 · 41%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 29.8 → 44
Over/Under 28.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+14.2)
- Julius RandleExp 23.7 → 16
Over/Under 22.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.7)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 19.6 → 33
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+13.4)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 16.4 → 21
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 14.7 → 17
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.3)
- Saddiq BeyExp 14.6 → 22
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.4)
- Naz ReidExp 14.3 → 18
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+3.7)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 13.9 → 15
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards44 PTS
- Trey Murphy III33 PTS
- Rudy Gobert26 PTS
- Saddiq Bey22 PTS
- Derik Queen21 PTS
- Jeremiah Fears21 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Julius RandleExp 5.9 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Derik QueenExp 4.0 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 3.7 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Jose AlvaradoExp 3.6 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.6)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Mike ConleyExp 3.2 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Derik Queen6 AST
- Julius Randle6 AST
- Naz Reid6 AST
- Donte DiVincenzo5 AST
- Jeremiah Fears5 AST
- Anthony Edwards4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Julius RandleExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Jeremiah FearsExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
- Saddiq BeyExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Naz ReidExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Donte DiVincenzo2 STL
- Naz Reid2 STL
- Derik Queen1 STL
- Jaden McDaniels1 STL
- Jeremiah Fears1 STL
- Jose Alvarado1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 2-3
PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 114.2
NOP
Record: 1-4
PPG 117.2 · Opp PPG 123
Head to head
MIN 6–4 NOP · 10 Meetings
