New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2025-03-21 · FINAL
93 – 134
P(away)
20%
P(home)
80%
λ home / away · confidence
122.3 / 108.5 · 83%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 28.1 → 17
Over/Under 27.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-11.1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 23.9
Over/Under 22.5: 60% / 40%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 19.9
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39%
- CJ McCollumExp 19.9 → 15
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-4.9)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 19.7
Over/Under 18.5: 59% / 41%
- Julius RandleExp 18.8 → 20
Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Naz ReidExp 14.9 → 15
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 13.3 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Julius Randle20 PTS
- Anthony Edwards17 PTS
- Jaden McDaniels17 PTS
- CJ McCollum15 PTS
- Naz Reid15 PTS
- Rudy Gobert15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 7.0
Over/Under 6.5: 55% / 45%
- Zion WilliamsonExp 5.6
Over/Under 4.5: 66% / 34%
- Julius RandleExp 5.4 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 5.0 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (0)
- Jose AlvaradoExp 4.5 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Mike ConleyExp 4.4 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- CJ McCollumExp 4.4 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Elfrid PaytonExp 4.2 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Mike Conley6 AST
- Naz Reid6 AST
- Anthony Edwards5 AST
- Julius Randle5 AST
- Kelly Olynyk4 AST
- CJ McCollum3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Herbert JonesExp 1.5
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30%
- Jaden McDanielsExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Elfrid PaytonExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Donte DiVincenzoExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Mike ConleyExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
Boxscore leaders
- CJ McCollum4 STL
- Rudy Gobert3 STL
- Anthony Edwards2 STL
- Jaylen Clark2 STL
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl2 STL
- Julius Randle2 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 2-3
PPG 107 · Opp PPG 118.8
MIN
Record: 3-2
PPG 121.2 · Opp PPG 111.8
Head to head
NOP 5–5 MIN · 10 Meetings
