Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2026-04-12 · FINAL

117143

P(away)

67%

P(home)

33%

λ home / away · confidence

117.8 / 124.4 · 47%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Tyler HerroExp 20.95

    Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-15.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 20.025

    Over/Under 18.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+5)

  • Norman PowellExp 18.425

    Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+6.6)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 16.826

    Over/Under 15.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+9.2)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 14.44

    Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-10.4)

  • Corey KispertExp 12.821

    Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+8.2)

  • Kel'el WareExp 12.016

    Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4)

  • Keshad JohnsonExp 11.212

    Over/Under 10.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.8)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Davion MitchellExp 6.41

    Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-5.4)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 4.75

    Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Tyler HerroExp 4.58

    Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+3.5)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 4.43

    Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Kasparas JakucionisExp 3.05

    Over/Under 1.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 2.42

    Over/Under 1.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Norman PowellExp 2.32

    Over/Under 1.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Corey KispertExp 1.72

    Over/Under 0.5: 82% / 18% · Actual Over (+0.3)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.03

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Tyler HerroExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 0.81

    Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 0.70

    Over/Under 0.5: 51% / 49% · Actual Under (-0.7)

  • Norman PowellExp 0.71

    Over/Under 0.5: 49% / 51% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Keshon GilbertExp 0.61

    Over/Under 0.5: 47% / 53% · Actual Over (+0.4)

  • Kasparas JakucionisExp 0.60

    Over/Under 0.5: 47% / 53% · Actual Under (-0.6)

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 123.2 · Opp PPG 108

MIA

Record: 2-3

PPG 126 · Opp PPG 129.8

Head to head

ATL 46 MIA · 10 Meetings