Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2025-03-27 · FINAL

112122

P(away)

61%

P(home)

39%

λ home / away · confidence

111.7 / 115.5 · 30%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 24.129

    Over/Under 23.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 23.536

    Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+12.5)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 19.916

    Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 18.212

    Over/Under 17.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-6.2)

  • Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44%

  • Dyson DanielsExp 14.39

    Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.3)

  • Onyeka OkongwuExp 13.615

    Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.4)

  • Zaccharie RisacherExp 13.65

    Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-8.6)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 10.112

    Over/Under 9.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 5.54

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.5)

  • Davion MitchellExp 5.46

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.6)

  • Dyson DanielsExp 4.73

    Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.7)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 4.34

    Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Caris LeVertExp 3.23

    Over/Under 2.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 3.13

    Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.1)

Boxscore leaders

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dyson DanielsExp 1.62

    Over/Under 0.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (+0.4)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25%

  • Dru SmithExp 1.3

    Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.31

    Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.3)

  • Trae YoungExp 1.12

    Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)

  • Haywood HighsmithExp 1.12

    Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.13

    Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.12

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 123.6 · Opp PPG 115.8

MIA

Record: 2-3

PPG 108 · Opp PPG 105

Head to head

ATL 46 MIA · 10 Meetings