Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2025-02-26 · FINAL

109131

P(away)

43%

P(home)

57%

λ home / away · confidence

116.6 / 113.8 · 21%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 26.517

    Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-9.5)

  • Tyler HerroExp 25.924

    Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 20.420

    Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 19.515

    Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.5)

  • Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39%

  • Dyson DanielsExp 14.818

    Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.2)

  • Onyeka OkongwuExp 13.013

    Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (0)

  • Terry RozierExp 12.2

    Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44%

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 10.98

    Over/Under 9.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 6.310

    Over/Under 5.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.7)

  • Davion MitchellExp 4.76

    Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.3)

  • Dyson DanielsExp 4.55

    Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.5)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 4.13

    Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41%

  • Caris LeVertExp 3.02

    Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dyson DanielsExp 1.82

    Over/Under 0.5: 83% / 17% · Actual Over (+0.2)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23%

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.33

    Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.7)

  • Dru SmithExp 1.3

    Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28%

  • Trae YoungExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 1.02

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)

  • Vit KrejciExp 0.9

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 2-3

PPG 121.8 · Opp PPG 120.6

MIA

Record: 1-4

PPG 106.6 · Opp PPG 112.4

Head to head

ATL 46 MIA · 10 Meetings