Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2025-02-26 · FINAL
109 – 131
P(away)
43%
P(home)
57%
λ home / away · confidence
116.6 / 113.8 · 21%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.5 → 17
Over/Under 25.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-9.5)
- Tyler HerroExp 25.9 → 24
Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 20.4 → 20
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Andrew WigginsExp 19.5 → 15
Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 17.8
Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39%
- Dyson DanielsExp 14.8 → 18
Over/Under 13.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Onyeka OkongwuExp 13.0 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (0)
- Terry RozierExp 12.2
Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44%
Boxscore leaders
- Duncan Robinson24 PTS
- Tyler Herro24 PTS
- Bam Adebayo20 PTS
- Davion Mitchell20 PTS
- Dyson Daniels18 PTS
- Caris LeVert17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 10.9 → 8
Over/Under 9.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 6.3 → 10
Over/Under 5.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.7)
- Davion MitchellExp 4.7 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Dyson DanielsExp 4.5 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35%
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.1 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Nikola JovicExp 3.0
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41%
- Caris LeVertExp 3.0 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro10 AST
- Trae Young8 AST
- Andrew Wiggins6 AST
- Davion Mitchell6 AST
- Duncan Robinson6 AST
- Dyson Daniels5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dyson DanielsExp 1.8 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 83% / 17% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23%
- Tyler HerroExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Dru SmithExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28%
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Davion MitchellExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Andrew WigginsExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Vit KrejciExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro3 STL
- Andrew Wiggins2 STL
- Caris LeVert2 STL
- Davion Mitchell2 STL
- Dyson Daniels2 STL
- Kel'el Ware2 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 121.8 · Opp PPG 120.6
MIA
Record: 1-4
PPG 106.6 · Opp PPG 112.4
Head to head
ATL 4–6 MIA · 10 Meetings
