Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2026-02-03 · FINAL

127115

P(away)

49%

P(home)

51%

λ home / away · confidence

119.5 / 119.0 · 3%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 25.129

    Over/Under 24.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+3.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 21.516

    Over/Under 20.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.5)

  • Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • CJ McCollumExp 19.526

    Over/Under 18.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+6.5)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 15.921

    Over/Under 14.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+5.1)

  • Nikola JovicExp 13.05

    Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-8)

  • Simone FontecchioExp 12.818

    Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+5.2)

  • Corey KispertExp 12.413

    Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.6)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 7.611

    Over/Under 6.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.4)

  • Davion MitchellExp 7.510

    Over/Under 6.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.5)

  • Dyson DanielsExp 6.75

    Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.7)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 5.53

    Over/Under 4.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-2.5)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3)

  • Pelle LarssonExp 4.05

    Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1)

  • CJ McCollumExp 3.92

    Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • Dru SmithExp 3.42

    Over/Under 2.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.4)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dyson DanielsExp 1.71

    Over/Under 0.5: 81% / 19% · Actual Over (-0.7)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Dru SmithExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Mouhamed GueyeExp 1.03

    Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 113.8 · Opp PPG 111.6

MIA

Record: 3-2

PPG 125.2 · Opp PPG 113.8

Head to head

ATL 37 MIA · 10 Meetings