Tonight

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

2026-02-20 · FINAL

12897

P(away)

44%

P(home)

56%

λ home / away · confidence

122.0 / 119.5 · 18%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 24.816

    Over/Under 23.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-8.8)

  • Norman PowellExp 22.915

    Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-7.9)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 21.617

    Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.6)

  • Tyler HerroExp 21.324

    Over/Under 20.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.7)

  • Over/Under 19.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • CJ McCollumExp 20.120

    Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 17.413

    Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.4)

  • Onyeka OkongwuExp 16.122

    Over/Under 15.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+5.9)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 8.811

    Over/Under 7.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+2.2)

  • Davion MitchellExp 6.57

    Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.5)

  • Dyson DanielsExp 6.23

    Over/Under 5.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.2)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 5.14

    Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.7)

  • CJ McCollumExp 4.01

    Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-3)

  • Pelle LarssonExp 4.01

    Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-3)

  • Onyeka OkongwuExp 3.23

    Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (-0.2)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dyson DanielsExp 1.52

    Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 1.40

    Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.3)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Dru SmithExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (0)

Recent form (L5)

MIA

Record: 2-3

PPG 115.4 · Opp PPG 110.4

ATL

Record: 2-3

PPG 116 · Opp PPG 120

Head to head

MIA 64 ATL · 10 Meetings