San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2025-01-03 · FINAL
113 – 110
P(away)
55%
P(home)
45%
λ home / away · confidence
116.4 / 118.2 · 13%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 29.3 → 41
Over/Under 28.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+11.7)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 28.0 → 35
Over/Under 27.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+7)
- Jamal MurrayExp 20.9 → 14
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-6.9)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.3 → 22
Over/Under 16.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.7)
- Devin VassellExp 16.0 → 18
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+2)
- Jeremy SochanExp 13.8
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38%
- Russell WestbrookExp 13.5 → 9
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Christian BraunExp 13.3 → 11
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic41 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama35 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.22 PTS
- Devin Vassell18 PTS
- Keldon Johnson16 PTS
- Julian Champagnie15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.2 → 9
Over/Under 8.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Chris PaulExp 8.0 → 11
Over/Under 7.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+3)
- Russell WestbrookExp 7.1 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jamal MurrayExp 6.3 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 3.9 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Tre JonesExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Stephon CastleExp 3.0 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1)
- Devin VassellExp 3.0 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+3)
Boxscore leaders
- Chris Paul11 AST
- Nikola Jokic9 AST
- Russell Westbrook8 AST
- Jamal Murray7 AST
- Devin Vassell6 AST
- Christian Braun5 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Chris PaulExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Russell WestbrookExp 1.4 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Nikola JokicExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Christian BraunExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Devin VassellExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Tre JonesExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Devin Vassell2 STL
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Peyton Watson2 STL
- Russell Westbrook2 STL
- Julian Strawther1 STL
- Victor Wembanyama1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 109.6 · Opp PPG 102.6
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 128 · Opp PPG 124.2
Head to head
SAS 4–6 DEN · 10 Meetings
