Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2024-04-12 · FINAL
120 – 121
P(away)
66%
P(home)
34%
λ home / away · confidence
112.3 / 118.5 · 43%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 28.8 → 22
Over/Under 27.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-6.8)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 23.5 → 34
Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+10.5)
- Jamal MurrayExp 21.5 → 35
Over/Under 20.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+13.5)
- Devin VassellExp 19.2
Over/Under 18.5: 55% / 45%
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.0 → 14
Over/Under 16.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-3)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.4 → 13
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 13.8
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38%
- Jeremy SochanExp 12.8
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38%
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray35 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama34 PTS
- Nikola Jokic22 PTS
- Sandro Mamukelashvili21 PTS
- Zach Collins15 PTS
- Julian Champagnie14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.3 → 12
Over/Under 8.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Tre JonesExp 6.8 → 10
Over/Under 5.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Jamal MurrayExp 6.6 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 5.1 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Devin VassellExp 4.7
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31%
- Aaron GordonExp 4.3 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Reggie JacksonExp 3.7 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Jeremy SochanExp 3.5
Over/Under 2.5: 68% / 32%
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic12 AST
- Tre Jones10 AST
- Devonte' Graham5 AST
- Victor Wembanyama5 AST
- Aaron Gordon4 AST
- Blake Wesley4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.5 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Tre JonesExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jeremy SochanExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Victor WembanyamaExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Devin VassellExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
- Julian ChampagnieExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic2 STL
- Reggie Jackson2 STL
- Aaron Gordon1 STL
- Jamal Murray1 STL
- Justin Holiday1 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 115.8 · Opp PPG 103.8
SAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 106.6 · Opp PPG 113.2
Head to head
DEN 7–3 SAS · 10 Meetings
