Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2025-02-24 · FINAL
86 – 98
P(away)
38%
P(home)
62%
λ home / away · confidence
118.2 / 113.8 · 33%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 27.4 → 11
Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-16.4)
- Tyler HerroExp 26.8 → 11
Over/Under 25.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-15.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 20.7 → 14
Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-6.7)
- Andrew WigginsExp 19.9 → 23
Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 17.9
Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38%
- Dyson DanielsExp 15.3 → 10
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Onyeka OkongwuExp 12.8 → 17
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+4.2)
- Zaccharie RisacherExp 12.3 → 2
Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-10.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Andrew Wiggins23 PTS
- Onyeka Okongwu17 PTS
- Caris LeVert15 PTS
- Terance Mann15 PTS
- Bam Adebayo14 PTS
- Kyle Anderson14 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 10.6 → 14
Over/Under 9.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Tyler HerroExp 6.5 → 3
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.5)
- Dyson DanielsExp 4.8 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Davion MitchellExp 4.8 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 4.6
Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32%
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.4 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.4)
- Nikola JovicExp 3.0
Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42%
- Caris LeVertExp 3.0 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young14 AST
- Kel'el Ware3 AST
- Mouhamed Gueye3 AST
- Onyeka Okongwu3 AST
- Tyler Herro3 AST
- Caris LeVert2 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dyson DanielsExp 1.7 → 7
Over/Under 0.5: 81% / 19% · Actual Over (+5.3)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 1.4
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24%
- Dru SmithExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%
- Tyler HerroExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Trae YoungExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Davion MitchellExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Andrew WigginsExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Vit KrejciExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
Boxscore leaders
- Dyson Daniels7 STL
- Alec Burks2 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Clint Capela2 STL
- Onyeka Okongwu2 STL
- Tyler Herro2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 1-4
PPG 106.4 · Opp PPG 113.4
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 127.2 · Opp PPG 125.6
Head to head
MIA 7–3 ATL · 10 Meetings
