Tonight

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

2025-02-24 · FINAL

8698

P(away)

38%

P(home)

62%

λ home / away · confidence

118.2 / 113.8 · 33%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 27.411

    Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-16.4)

  • Tyler HerroExp 26.811

    Over/Under 25.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-15.8)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 20.714

    Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-6.7)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 19.923

    Over/Under 18.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+3.1)

  • Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38%

  • Dyson DanielsExp 15.310

    Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5.2)

  • Onyeka OkongwuExp 12.817

    Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+4.2)

  • Zaccharie RisacherExp 12.32

    Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-10.3)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 10.614

    Over/Under 9.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+3.4)

  • Tyler HerroExp 6.53

    Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.5)

  • Dyson DanielsExp 4.82

    Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.8)

  • Davion MitchellExp 4.82

    Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.8)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 68% / 32%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 4.41

    Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.4)

  • Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42%

  • Caris LeVertExp 3.02

    Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-1)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dyson DanielsExp 1.77

    Over/Under 0.5: 81% / 19% · Actual Over (+5.3)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24%

  • Dru SmithExp 1.3

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.12

    Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.9)

  • Trae YoungExp 1.10

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Davion MitchellExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Andrew WigginsExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Vit KrejciExp 0.9

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%

Recent form (L5)

MIA

Record: 1-4

PPG 106.4 · Opp PPG 113.4

ATL

Record: 2-3

PPG 127.2 · Opp PPG 125.6

Head to head

MIA 73 ATL · 10 Meetings