Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2025-01-07 · FINAL
104 – 97
P(away)
66%
P(home)
34%
λ home / away · confidence
109.6 / 115.8 · 43%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 26.2 → 32
Over/Under 25.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+5.8)
- CJ McCollumExp 24.4 → 5
Over/Under 23.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-19.4)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 23.7 → 22
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Brandon IngramExp 22.3
Over/Under 21.5: 55% / 45%
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 21.1
Over/Under 20.5: 53% / 47%
- Julius RandleExp 20.5 → 16
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 17.1 → 29
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+11.9)
- Naz ReidExp 14.0 → 13
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards32 PTS
- Dejounte Murray29 PTS
- Zion Williamson22 PTS
- Julius Randle16 PTS
- Jose Alvarado13 PTS
- Naz Reid13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 8.5 → 6
Over/Under 7.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-2.5)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.8
Over/Under 4.5: 69% / 31%
- Zion WilliamsonExp 5.4 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Julius RandleExp 5.1 → 3
Over/Under 4.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 4.7 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Jose AlvaradoExp 4.3 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- CJ McCollumExp 4.2 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- Mike ConleyExp 4.0 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+2)
Boxscore leaders
- Donte DiVincenzo7 AST
- Dejounte Murray6 AST
- Mike Conley6 AST
- Herbert Jones5 AST
- Rudy Gobert4 AST
- Zion Williamson4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.6 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 80% / 20% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Herbert JonesExp 1.5 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Mike ConleyExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Brandon IngramExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34%
- Jose AlvaradoExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36%
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray6 STL
- Donte DiVincenzo3 STL
- Zion Williamson3 STL
- Anthony Edwards2 STL
- Jaden McDaniels2 STL
- Julius Randle2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 2-3
PPG 109 · Opp PPG 113.2
NOP
Record: 2-3
PPG 117.4 · Opp PPG 117
Head to head
MIN 5–5 NOP · 10 Meetings
