New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves
2024-01-03 · FINAL
117 – 106
P(away)
41%
P(home)
59%
λ home / away · confidence
111.0 / 107.6 · 26%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 27.8 → 35
Over/Under 26.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+7.2)
- Brandon IngramExp 23.2 → 19
Over/Under 22.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-4.2)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 20.7 → 27
Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 19.8 → 22
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- CJ McCollumExp 18.4 → 24
Over/Under 17.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+5.6)
- Jonas ValanciunasExp 13.8 → 4
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-9.8)
- Trey Murphy IIIExp 12.8
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37%
- Rudy GobertExp 12.3 → 5
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Anthony Edwards35 PTS
- Zion Williamson27 PTS
- CJ McCollum24 PTS
- Karl-Anthony Towns22 PTS
- Brandon Ingram19 PTS
- Herbert Jones16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Mike ConleyExp 5.9 → 9
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 5.5 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.4 → 7
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- CJ McCollumExp 4.9 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 4.5 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Kyle AndersonExp 3.7 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 2.9 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.9)
- Jonas ValanciunasExp 2.4 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 69% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Mike Conley9 AST
- Brandon Ingram7 AST
- Zion Williamson6 AST
- Anthony Edwards5 AST
- CJ McCollum5 AST
- Jordan McLaughlin4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- CJ McCollumExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Brandon IngramExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Mike ConleyExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Kyle AndersonExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Jaden McDanielsExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Herbert JonesExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Brandon Ingram2 STL
- Jaden McDaniels2 STL
- Kyle Anderson2 STL
- Anthony Edwards1 STL
- Dyson Daniels1 STL
- Herbert Jones1 STL
Recent form (L5)
NOP
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 104.2
MIN
Record: 3-2
PPG 109.6 · Opp PPG 111
Head to head
NOP 4–6 MIN · 10 Meetings
