Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2023-12-11 · FINAL
107 – 121
P(away)
52%
P(home)
48%
λ home / away · confidence
112.0 / 112.6 · 5%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 23.5
Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43%
- Brandon IngramExp 22.9 → 20
Over/Under 21.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 21.4 → 17
Over/Under 20.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-4.4)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 20.8 → 36
Over/Under 19.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+15.2)
- CJ McCollumExp 18.6 → 23
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Rudy GobertExp 14.3 → 8
Over/Under 13.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-6.3)
- Jonas ValanciunasExp 13.8 → 14
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Naz ReidExp 13.3 → 17
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+3.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Zion Williamson36 PTS
- CJ McCollum23 PTS
- Brandon Ingram20 PTS
- Karl-Anthony Towns17 PTS
- Mike Conley17 PTS
- Naz Reid17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Mike ConleyExp 6.5 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- CJ McCollumExp 5.4 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.4 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 5.3 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 5.0
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27%
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 3.8 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Kyle AndersonExp 3.7 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerExp 3.0 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+2)
Boxscore leaders
- Mike Conley7 AST
- Brandon Ingram5 AST
- Herbert Jones5 AST
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker5 AST
- Shake Milton5 AST
- CJ McCollum4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- CJ McCollumExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Herbert JonesExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Mike ConleyExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Brandon IngramExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Dyson Daniels2 STL
- Jonas Valanciunas2 STL
- Kyle Anderson2 STL
- CJ McCollum1 STL
- Jordan McLaughlin1 STL
- Jose Alvarado1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 5-0
PPG 111.8 · Opp PPG 101.4
NOP
Record: 3-2
PPG 115.8 · Opp PPG 118.8
Head to head
MIN 6–4 NOP · 10 Meetings
