San Antonio Spurs @ Denver Nuggets
2024-04-02 · FINAL
105 – 110
P(away)
27%
P(home)
73%
λ home / away · confidence
117.3 / 107.9 · 63%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.7 → 42
Over/Under 25.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+15.3)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 22.4 → 23
Over/Under 21.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 21.7
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41%
- Devin VassellExp 18.6
Over/Under 17.5: 59% / 41%
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 16.3 → 15
Over/Under 15.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Aaron GordonExp 14.1 → 23
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+8.9)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 13.6
Over/Under 12.5: 60% / 40%
- Reggie JacksonExp 12.5 → 9
Over/Under 11.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.5)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic42 PTS
- Malaki Branham24 PTS
- Aaron Gordon23 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama23 PTS
- Michael Porter Jr.15 PTS
- Zach Collins13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 8.6 → 6
Over/Under 7.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Jamal MurrayExp 7.5
Over/Under 6.5: 63% / 37%
- Tre JonesExp 6.1 → 11
Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4.9)
- Reggie JacksonExp 4.7 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 31% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 4.5 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Devin VassellExp 4.4
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36%
- Aaron GordonExp 3.8 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Jeremy SochanExp 3.3
Over/Under 2.5: 65% / 35%
Boxscore leaders
- Tre Jones11 AST
- Victor Wembanyama8 AST
- Christian Braun7 AST
- Nikola Jokic6 AST
- Aaron Gordon4 AST
- Blake Wesley4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Tre JonesExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jeremy SochanExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35%
- Devin VassellExp 1.0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37%
- Julian ChampagnieExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Aaron Gordon1 STL
- Devonte' Graham1 STL
- Julian Champagnie1 STL
- Justin Holiday1 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope1 STL
- Michael Porter Jr.1 STL
Recent form (L5)
SAS
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.2 · Opp PPG 117.4
DEN
Record: 3-2
PPG 113.4 · Opp PPG 106
Head to head
SAS 3–7 DEN · 10 Meetings
