Tonight

Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs

2024-03-15 · FINAL

117106

P(away)

72%

P(home)

28%

λ home / away · confidence

106.6 / 115.6 · 63%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 26.631

    Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 22.615

    Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.6)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 21.717

    Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.7)

  • Devin VassellExp 18.917

    Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-1.9)

  • Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.913

    Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4.9)

  • Keldon JohnsonExp 15.49

    Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-6.4)

  • Aaron GordonExp 13.87

    Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-6.8)

  • Jeremy SochanExp 12.819

    Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+6.2)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 9.05

    Over/Under 8.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-4)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 6.98

    Over/Under 5.5: 69% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.1)

  • Tre JonesExp 6.69

    Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+2.4)

  • Devin VassellExp 4.82

    Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-2.8)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 4.12

    Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.1)

  • Aaron GordonExp 3.77

    Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+3.3)

  • Jeremy SochanExp 3.34

    Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.7)

  • Blake WesleyExp 2.92

    Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.9)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Nikola JokicExp 1.50

    Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.5)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.7)

  • Victor WembanyamaExp 1.22

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)

  • Jamal MurrayExp 1.24

    Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+2.8)

  • Tre JonesExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Aaron GordonExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Devin VassellExp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.81

    Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)

Recent form (L5)

DEN

Record: 4-1

PPG 117.8 · Opp PPG 110.8

SAS

Record: 1-4

PPG 111.8 · Opp PPG 114.6

Head to head

DEN 73 SAS · 10 Meetings