Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs
2024-03-15 · FINAL
117 – 106
P(away)
72%
P(home)
28%
λ home / away · confidence
106.6 / 115.6 · 63%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 26.6 → 31
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 22.6 → 15
Over/Under 21.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.6)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 21.7 → 17
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-4.7)
- Devin VassellExp 18.9 → 17
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 17.9 → 13
Over/Under 16.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-4.9)
- Keldon JohnsonExp 15.4 → 9
Over/Under 14.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-6.4)
- Aaron GordonExp 13.8 → 7
Over/Under 12.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-6.8)
- Jeremy SochanExp 12.8 → 19
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+6.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Nikola Jokic31 PTS
- Jeremy Sochan19 PTS
- Devin Vassell17 PTS
- Victor Wembanyama17 PTS
- Jamal Murray15 PTS
- Christian Braun13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 9.0 → 5
Over/Under 8.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-4)
- Jamal MurrayExp 6.9 → 8
Over/Under 5.5: 69% / 32% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Tre JonesExp 6.6 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Devin VassellExp 4.8 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 4.1 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Aaron GordonExp 3.7 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+3.3)
- Jeremy SochanExp 3.3 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Blake WesleyExp 2.9 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Tre Jones9 AST
- Jamal Murray8 AST
- Aaron Gordon7 AST
- Nikola Jokic5 AST
- Christian Braun4 AST
- Jeremy Sochan4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Nikola JokicExp 1.5 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- Kentavious Caldwell-PopeExp 1.3 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Victor WembanyamaExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jamal MurrayExp 1.2 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Tre JonesExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Aaron GordonExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Devin VassellExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Michael Porter Jr.Exp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jamal Murray4 STL
- Christian Braun3 STL
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3 STL
- Justin Holiday2 STL
- Victor Wembanyama2 STL
- Devin Vassell1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DEN
Record: 4-1
PPG 117.8 · Opp PPG 110.8
SAS
Record: 1-4
PPG 111.8 · Opp PPG 114.6
Head to head
DEN 7–3 SAS · 10 Meetings
