Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2024-01-19 · FINAL
109 – 108
P(away)
50%
P(home)
50%
λ home / away · confidence
110.7 / 110.8 · 1%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 26.5
Over/Under 25.5: 57% / 43%
- Tyler HerroExp 24.0 → 25
Over/Under 22.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 21.7 → 21
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.7)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.9 → 22
Over/Under 19.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 20.5 → 25
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+4.5)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 16.1 → 17
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 15.8
Over/Under 14.5: 62% / 38%
- De'Andre HunterExp 15.7
Over/Under 14.5: 60% / 40%
Boxscore leaders
- Jimmy Butler III25 PTS
- Tyler Herro25 PTS
- Dejounte Murray22 PTS
- Bam Adebayo21 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic17 PTS
- Jalen Johnson15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 10.0
Over/Under 9.5: 54% / 46%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.2 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Tyler HerroExp 4.6 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Under (-2.6)
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.6 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+1.4)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 4.5 → 11
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+6.5)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Under (-1.8)
- Kyle LowryExp 3.5 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 3.3 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray11 AST
- Bam Adebayo6 AST
- Jimmy Butler III6 AST
- Kyle Lowry4 AST
- Garrison Mathews3 AST
- Trent Forrest3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27%
- Jalen JohnsonExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 1.1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33%
- Tyler HerroExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray2 STL
- Jalen Johnson2 STL
- Jimmy Butler III2 STL
- Bam Adebayo1 STL
- Haywood Highsmith1 STL
- Kevin Love1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.2 · Opp PPG 117.6
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 103.2 · Opp PPG 105.4
Head to head
ATL 2–8 MIA · 10 Meetings
