Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks
2024-04-09 · FINAL
117 – 111
P(away)
54%
P(home)
46%
λ home / away · confidence
112.7 / 114.4 · 12%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 23.8
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 22.0 → 29
Over/Under 21.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+7)
- Tyler HerroExp 20.4 → 33
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+12.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 20.2 → 25
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+4.8)
- Terry RozierExp 19.8
Over/Under 18.5: 60% / 40%
- Bam AdebayoExp 18.9 → 10
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-8.9)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 16.6 → 11
Over/Under 15.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-5.6)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 16.4 → 13
Over/Under 15.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-3.4)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyler Herro33 PTS
- Dejounte Murray29 PTS
- Jimmy Butler III25 PTS
- De'Andre Hunter23 PTS
- Nikola Jovic23 PTS
- Haywood Highsmith13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 10.3
Over/Under 9.5: 58% / 42%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 7.8 → 13
Over/Under 6.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+5.2)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.0 → 9
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+4)
- Terry RozierExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34%
- Tyler HerroExp 4.5 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 4.1 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 3.8 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+3.2)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 3.8 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Under (-1.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray13 AST
- Jimmy Butler III9 AST
- Bam Adebayo7 AST
- Tyler Herro4 AST
- Caleb Martin3 AST
- De'Andre Hunter3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.5 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+2.5)
- Terry RozierExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31%
- Trae YoungExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31%
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 1.1 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Jalen JohnsonExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Bam AdebayoExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2)
- Delon WrightExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray4 STL
- Bam Adebayo3 STL
- Jimmy Butler III3 STL
- Caleb Martin2 STL
- De'Andre Hunter2 STL
- Vit Krejci2 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 113.4 · Opp PPG 107.2
ATL
Record: 2-3
PPG 110.4 · Opp PPG 117.4
Head to head
MIA 7–3 ATL · 10 Meetings
