Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans
2023-11-18 · FINAL
121 – 120
P(away)
60%
P(home)
40%
λ home / away · confidence
111.2 / 115.2 · 28%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 26.0 → 23
Over/Under 24.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-3)
- Brandon IngramExp 22.1 → 30
Over/Under 21.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+7.9)
- Karl-Anthony TownsExp 21.8 → 29
Over/Under 20.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.2)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 20.9
Over/Under 19.5: 60% / 40%
- CJ McCollumExp 20.3
Over/Under 19.5: 55% / 45%
- Jordan HawkinsExp 13.8 → 15
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- Jonas ValanciunasExp 13.2 → 26
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+12.8)
- Rudy GobertExp 11.3 → 17
Over/Under 10.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+5.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Brandon Ingram30 PTS
- Karl-Anthony Towns29 PTS
- Jonas Valanciunas26 PTS
- Anthony Edwards23 PTS
- Rudy Gobert17 PTS
- Jordan Hawkins15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Anthony EdwardsExp 5.7 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Brandon IngramExp 5.5 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.5)
- CJ McCollumExp 5.4
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37%
- Mike ConleyExp 5.2 → 5
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 4.5
Over/Under 3.5: 66% / 34%
- Kyle AndersonExp 4.0 → 5
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1)
- Dyson DanielsExp 3.9 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Nickeil Alexander-WalkerExp 2.8 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Karl-Anthony Towns9 AST
- Herbert Jones8 AST
- Dyson Daniels6 AST
- Kyle Anderson5 AST
- Mike Conley5 AST
- Anthony Edwards4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Herbert JonesExp 1.6 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 79% / 21% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Anthony EdwardsExp 1.4 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- CJ McCollumExp 1.3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26%
- Dyson DanielsExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Kyle AndersonExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Zion WilliamsonExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39%
- Brandon IngramExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Mike ConleyExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Herbert Jones2 STL
- Rudy Gobert2 STL
- Brandon Ingram1 STL
- Cody Zeller1 STL
- Dyson Daniels1 STL
- Jonas Valanciunas1 STL
Recent form (L5)
MIN
Record: 4-1
PPG 114.8 · Opp PPG 111
NOP
Record: 2-3
PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 116.4
Head to head
MIN 6–4 NOP · 10 Meetings
