Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
2023-12-22 · FINAL
113 – 122
P(away)
35%
P(home)
65%
λ home / away · confidence
121.2 / 115.3 · 43%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 28.4 → 30
Over/Under 27.5: 56% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Tyler HerroExp 23.7 → 30
Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Bam AdebayoExp 22.5 → 18
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 21.8
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41%
- Dejounte MurrayExp 20.6 → 24
Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 18.8 → 23
Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+4.2)
- De'Andre HunterExp 16.1
Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46%
- Duncan RobinsonExp 14.9 → 27
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+12.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young30 PTS
- Tyler Herro30 PTS
- Duncan Robinson27 PTS
- Dejounte Murray24 PTS
- Bogdan Bogdanovic23 PTS
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.19 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Trae YoungExp 11.1 → 13
Over/Under 10.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.9)
- Dejounte MurrayExp 5.4 → 6
Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.6)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 5.3
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39%
- Tyler HerroExp 5.2 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Kyle LowryExp 4.1 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Bam AdebayoExp 4.0 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 3.8 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Josh RichardsonExp 3.3 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Trae Young13 AST
- Bam Adebayo6 AST
- Dejounte Murray6 AST
- Bogdan Bogdanovic5 AST
- Duncan Robinson3 AST
- Kyle Lowry3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Dejounte MurrayExp 1.4 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Trae YoungExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Bam AdebayoExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Tyler HerroExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Bogdan BogdanovicExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Kyle LowryExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jimmy Butler IIIExp 0.9
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%
Boxscore leaders
- Dejounte Murray3 STL
- Bam Adebayo2 STL
- Saddiq Bey2 STL
- Trae Young2 STL
- Bogdan Bogdanovic1 STL
- Caleb Martin1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ATL
Record: 3-2
PPG 127.2 · Opp PPG 123.4
MIA
Record: 3-2
PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 112.4
Head to head
ATL 2–8 MIA · 10 Meetings
