Tonight

Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat

2023-12-22 · FINAL

113122

P(away)

35%

P(home)

65%

λ home / away · confidence

121.2 / 115.3 · 43%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 28.430

    Over/Under 27.5: 56% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.6)

  • Tyler HerroExp 23.730

    Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.3)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 22.518

    Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-4.5)

  • Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41%

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 20.624

    Over/Under 19.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.4)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 18.823

    Over/Under 17.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+4.2)

  • Over/Under 15.5: 54% / 46%

  • Duncan RobinsonExp 14.927

    Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+12.1)

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 11.113

    Over/Under 10.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+1.9)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 5.46

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+0.6)

  • Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39%

  • Tyler HerroExp 5.22

    Over/Under 4.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-3.2)

  • Kyle LowryExp 4.13

    Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.1)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 4.06

    Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Duncan RobinsonExp 3.83

    Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.8)

  • Josh RichardsonExp 3.31

    Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.3)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 1.43

    Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Over (+1.6)

  • Trae YoungExp 1.22

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 1.12

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)

  • Tyler HerroExp 1.11

    Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (-0.1)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 1.01

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)

  • Kyle LowryExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.Exp 0.91

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41%

Recent form (L5)

ATL

Record: 3-2

PPG 127.2 · Opp PPG 123.4

MIA

Record: 3-2

PPG 114.4 · Opp PPG 112.4

Head to head

ATL 28 MIA · 10 Meetings