Tonight

Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

2023-11-11 · FINAL

117109

P(away)

48%

P(home)

52%

λ home / away · confidence

114.1 / 113.1 · 7%

Player props

Expected counting stats + over/under

Points

Expected PTS · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 25.027

    Over/Under 24.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 23.826

    Over/Under 22.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+2.2)

  • Tyler HerroExp 23.5

    Over/Under 22.5: 57% / 43%

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 21.223

    Over/Under 20.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+1.8)

  • Over/Under 16.5: 60% / 40%

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 14.69

    Over/Under 13.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-5.6)

  • De'Andre HunterExp 13.710

    Over/Under 12.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-3.7)

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 12.215

    Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.8)

Boxscore leaders

Assists

Expected AST · O/U near projection

  • Trae YoungExp 10.411

    Over/Under 9.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.6)

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 6.05

    Over/Under 5.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Kyle LowryExp 5.44

    Over/Under 4.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1.4)

  • Over/Under 3.5: 72% / 28%

  • Bam AdebayoExp 3.74

    Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.3)

  • Over/Under 2.5: 70% / 30%

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 3.31

    Over/Under 2.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.3)

  • Jalen JohnsonExp 2.72

    Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.7)

Steals

Expected STL · O/U near projection

  • Kyle LowryExp 1.41

    Over/Under 0.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (-0.4)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29%

  • Dejounte MurrayExp 1.23

    Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.8)

  • Trae YoungExp 1.21

    Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (-0.2)

  • Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32%

  • Bogdan BogdanovicExp 1.00

    Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)

  • Dru SmithExp 1.03

    Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2)

  • Bam AdebayoExp 0.92

    Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)

Recent form (L5)

MIA

Record: 3-2

PPG 111.2 · Opp PPG 110.8

ATL

Record: 4-1

PPG 123.4 · Opp PPG 116.8

Head to head

MIA 82 ATL · 10 Meetings